2017 NFL Super Bowl Prop & Novelty Bets


The Super Bowl is one of the best betting days of the year, partly because all of your friends can get together and have a great time, but mostly because there are so many different things you can bet on. It’s the one sporting event that generates the most betting markets out of any. As well as in game prop bets, there are all some really fun novelty bets offered every year. In this preview, we analyse some of those markets, probably way more than they were intended to be analysed, and give you tips to keep you entertained even if your team is losing on the day!

2017 NFL Super Bowl Game Prop Bets

If I’m correct in the way I’m expecting this game to go, the Pats should be up at the end of the 3rd quarter going into the 4th. When teams are chasing tail, especially if down by two or more scores in the last quarter, they are inclined to go for it on 4th down, especially in a game where everything is on the line. Atlanta have only gone for it on 4th down 14 times this year, but have converted on 8 of those attempts, giving them the 9th best conversion rate in the game. With a high-powered offence that loves to dump short passes over the middle, I’d have confidence in them converting a 4th and short if the game situation called for it.

TIP: Atlanta to convert a 4th down – $2 at Bet365

Tom Brady and this Patriots offence are known for it’s quick, passing over the middle game style. Many people wouldn’t believe that this year marked one of the highest average yards per attempt of Brady’s career at 8.2 yards. One of the major factors for this has been the emergence of Chris Hogan. Hogan exploded in the AFC Championship game for 180 yards and 2 TD’s. Atlanta have had a bottom 10 defence against the pass all season, and while their average yards per attempt has been okay at 6.9, I’d expect them to let Hogan off the leash at least once this game.

TIP: Chris Hogan longest pass reception OVER 25.5 yards – $1.87 at Ladbrokes

A safety in an NFL game is generally a pretty uncommon occurrence, you have to pin your opposition in great field position, then get amazing defensive pressure on the QB or running back. However, since 2009, four Super Bowls have featured a safety. It must be the nerves, under the big lights when backed up in their own territory, players can make mistakes. The Patriots and Falcons both boast top five punters in Ryan Allen and Matt Bosher who are quite capable of pinning their opponents inside the 5-yard line. It’s still a fairly long shot, but you never know what could happen in a Super Bowl.

TIP: Safety scored in the game – $13 at Unibet

Superbowl Crownbet

2017 NFL Super Bowl Novelty Bets

Now to the fun stuff. For our pre-game market tip, we’ll be taking the very popular ‘time of national anthem rendition’ market. Country singer Luke Bryan has the honour of singing this year’s national anthem before the game. There’s a few available YouTube videos of him singing the anthem at a baseball game where he clocks 122 seconds. The over/under for the pre-game rendition is set at 128.5 seconds. You would have to think he would air it out a little bit, as singers always do. He’ll add a few seconds’ gap in between ‘wave’ and ‘for the land’ for suspense and hopefully get us over the 208.5 mark.

TIP: Luke Bryan National Anthem OVER 208.5 seconds – 1.75 at Sportsbet

Our half time market involves the main star of the show, Lady Gaga. If you’ve ever seen a Lady Gaga performance, you’ll know she loves the theatrics. Sportsbet are offering a nice $1.67 for her to wear over 2.0 outfits for the game. With this bet you are almost guaranteed your money back at least. I have no doubt in my mind that she will have at LEAST one costume change throughout her show. Half-time performers usually like to start things off slow, and get their boring songs out of the way first, then get that quick costume change in before they liven things up. Katy Perry performed two years ago, at the 2015 Super Bowl and totalled an outrageous four costumes over her 12-minute performance. You can’t lose taking the OVER here.

TIP: Lady Gaga OVER 2.0 costumes – $1.67 at Sportsbet

While many people enjoy the Gatorade colour novelty bet, we will be taking the MVP Speech market for our post game tip. It’s a pretty safe bet that either Matt Ryan or Tom Brady will win the MVP according to which team wins the game, who they will thank first in their MVP acceptance speech is a different story, however. Thanking their teammates is a strong favourite at $2.50, which I think is almost a lock if Matt Ryan wins it. When Tom Brady won his Super Bowl MVP in 2015, however, he thanked his family/friends first, which is paying a healthy $10. It was closely followed by his teammates, however, and I think that is the safe bet. FYI, our tip for the Gatorade colour is orange, the Pats love it.

TIP: MVP to thank teammates first – $2.50 at William Hill

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February 3, 2017: Posted in Expert Betting Tips No Comments

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